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Ligue 1
Lorient logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Nantes

Lorient
3 - 2
Nantes

Ouattara (19'), Cathline (60'), Kone (74')
Laporte (76'), Kone (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ganago (13'), Simon (85')
Simon (40'), Chirivella (45'), Appiah (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

Last Six:
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Olympiacos
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lorient 2-1 Nantes

 As much as Lorient were helped by some individual Lyon errors in midweek, take nothing away from Les Merlus' stunning start to the campaign, and a third-straight win at the Stade du Moustoir is on the cards. Nantes battled well on Thursday night but are working with less rest time than their in-form counterparts, and their away-day struggles are set to continue versus the rejuvenated Merlus, who are determined to avoid a 12th game without a win in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
LorientDrawNantes
40.38% (0.811 0.81) 27.38% (0.175 0.18) 32.23% (-0.988 -0.99)
Both teams to score 49.11% (-0.785 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63% (-0.873 -0.87)56.37% (0.872 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61% (-0.712 -0.71)77.39% (0.711 0.71)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)27.36% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17% (0.048999999999999 0.05)62.82% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.6% (-1.118 -1.12)32.39% (1.116 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (-1.278 -1.28)68.91% (1.277 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 40.37%
    Nantes 32.23%
    Draw 27.38%
LorientDrawNantes
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.262 0.26)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.117 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 40.37%
1-1 @ 12.94% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.158 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Lorient vs Nantes

Lorient
73.2%
Draw
9.8%
Nantes
17.1%
41
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Nantes
4-2
Lorient
Girotto (39'), Kolo (53'), Bukari (69'), Geubbels (86')
Moutoussamy (45+1'), Da Silva (77'), Appiah (83')
Moffi (56'), Soumano (85')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Lorient
0-1
Nantes

Ouattara (26')
Cyprien (83')
Coulibaly (18'), Moutoussamy (48'), Girotto (90+1')
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
Nantes
1-1
Lorient
Kolo (2')
Lauriente (87')
Lauriente (24')
Nov 8, 2020 2pm
Lorient
0-2
Nantes

Abergel (18'), Lauriente (19'), Morel (82')
Bamba (80'), Blas (83')
Louza (32')
Apr 29, 2017 7pm
Nantes
1-0
Lorient
Sala (89')

Lautoa (40'), Moreira (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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