Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade du Moustoir
Lorient3 - 2Nantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Lyon | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Lille | 7 | -1 | 10 |
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Olympiacos
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Auxerre | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Nantes | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Reims | 6 | -3 | 6 |
We said: Lorient 2-1 Nantes
As much as Lorient were helped by some individual Lyon errors in midweek, take nothing away from Les Merlus' stunning start to the campaign, and a third-straight win at the Stade du Moustoir is on the cards. Nantes battled well on Thursday night but are working with less rest time than their in-form counterparts, and their away-day struggles are set to continue versus the rejuvenated Merlus, who are determined to avoid a 12th game without a win in this fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Nantes |
40.38% ( 0.81) | 27.38% ( 0.18) | 32.23% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.63% ( -0.87) | 56.37% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.61% ( -0.71) | 77.39% ( 0.71) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% ( 0.04) | 27.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.17% ( 0.05) | 62.82% ( -0.05) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% ( -1.12) | 32.39% ( 1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.09% ( -1.28) | 68.91% ( 1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 40.37%
Nantes 32.23%
Draw 27.38%
| Lorient | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.23% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Nantes
Lorient
73.2%Draw
9.8%Nantes
17.1%41
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
Nantes
4-2
Lorient
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Mar 21, 2021 2pm
Apr 29, 2017 7pm
