Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Reims |
31.05% ( 0.01) | 24.39% ( 0) | 44.56% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.72% ( -0.01) | 44.28% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.35% ( -0.01) | 66.65% ( 0.02) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% | 27.12% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.48% ( -0) | 62.51% ( 0) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.99% ( -0.01) | 20.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.8% ( -0.02) | 52.2% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Reims |
2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.05% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 44.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |