Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
38.23% ( 0.41) | 25.22% ( 0.18) | 36.55% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% ( -0.87) | 46.7% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% ( -0.82) | 68.96% ( 0.83) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.92% ( -0.18) | 24.08% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.64% ( -0.25) | 58.36% ( 0.26) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( -0.72) | 24.99% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.35% ( -1.01) | 59.65% ( 1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |