Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
38.23% ( 0.41) | 25.22% ( 0.18) | 36.55% ( -0.58) |
Both teams to score 56.95% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% ( -0.87) | 46.7% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% ( -0.82) | 68.96% ( 0.83) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.92% ( -0.18) | 24.08% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.64% ( -0.25) | 58.36% ( 0.26) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( -0.72) | 24.99% ( 0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.35% ( -1.01) | 59.65% ( 1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lens | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
7 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |