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Lille
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Nantes
Nice
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Reims
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Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Toulouse

Nantes
1 - 2
Toulouse

Mohamed (13' pen.)
Coco (2'), Pallois (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aboukhlal (62'), Nicolaisen (90+1')
Costa (52'), Sierro (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Nantes
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Toulouse

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-1 Roma
Sunday, August 6 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Nantes 1-1 Toulouse

 Both sides seem weakened by their transfer-window dealings so far, and a low-scoring encounter could be on the cards when they meet on Ligue 1's opening day. Even in pre-season, Nantes have lost that winning feeling, so they may have to settle for a home draw against their cup final conquerors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.

Result
NantesDrawToulouse
35.04% (0.086999999999996 0.09) 25.68% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 39.28% (-0.135 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (-0.204 -0.2)48.87% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.03% (-0.185 -0.18)70.97% (0.188 0.19)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)26.88% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)62.2% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)24.5% (0.165 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (-0.229 -0.23)58.96% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 35.04%
    Toulouse 39.28%
    Draw 25.68%
NantesDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.04%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 9.26% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.56% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.28%

How you voted: Nantes vs Toulouse

Nantes
39.6%
Draw
35.4%
Toulouse
25.0%
48
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 35
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 8pm
Final
Nantes
1-5
Toulouse
Blas (75' pen.)
Costa (4', 10'), Dallinga (23', 31'), Aboukhlal (79')
> Match Report
Aug 28, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
3-1
Toulouse
Guessand (50'), Mohamed (55'), Simon (61')
Aboukhlal (15')
van den Boomen (37'), Dejaegere (45'), Nicolaisen (87')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 33
Toulouse
P-P
Nantes
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 15
Nantes
2-1
Toulouse
Toure (43' pen.), Blas (53')
Bamba (40')
Leya Iseka (97' pen.)
Kone (8'), Isimat-Mirin (48')
Kone (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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