Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Nantes1 - 2Toulouse
We said: Nantes 1-1 Toulouse
Both sides seem weakened by their transfer-window dealings so far, and a low-scoring encounter could be on the cards when they meet on Ligue 1's opening day. Even in pre-season, Nantes have lost that winning feeling, so they may have to settle for a home draw against their cup final conquerors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Toulouse |
35.04% ( 0.09) | 25.68% ( 0.05) | 39.28% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.2) | 48.87% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( -0.18) | 70.97% ( 0.19) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( -0.04) | 26.88% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.8% ( -0.06) | 62.2% ( 0.06) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( -0.16) | 24.5% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.03% ( -0.23) | 58.96% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Nantes 35.04%
Toulouse 39.28%
Draw 25.68%
| Nantes | Draw | Toulouse |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.28% |
How you voted: Nantes vs Toulouse
Nantes
39.6%Draw
35.4%Toulouse
25.0%48
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 35
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
Apr 29, 2023 8pm
Aug 28, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
3-1
Toulouse
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 33
Toulouse
P-P
Nantes
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 15
Nantes
2-1
Toulouse
