Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.98%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 9.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 3-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.