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AJ Auxerre
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Strasbourg
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Ligue 1
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Marseille

Troyes
0 - 2
Marseille


Kouame (47'), Ripart (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbemba (10'), Veretout (46')
Kabore (15'), Mbemba (54'), Malinovskyi (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-3 Troyes
Monday, January 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-2 Marseille
Monday, January 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-2 Marseille

 With Marseille missing some key defenders for this match, we can certainly envisage Troyes getting themselves on the scoresheet at some point during the encounter. However, Marseille have looked in excellent offensive form since returning from the break, and they should narrowly secure a fifth straight league victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawMarseille
21.07%22.93%56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Both teams to score 53.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92%46.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62%68.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98%36.02% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2%72.8% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.72% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18%45.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 21.07%
    Marseille 55.99%
    Draw 22.93%
TroyesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 5.99%
2-1 @ 5.55%
2-0 @ 3.06%
3-1 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.72%
3-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 21.07%
1-1 @ 10.86%
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.93%
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-2 @ 9.66%
1-3 @ 5.97%
0-3 @ 5.85%
2-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 2.71%
0-4 @ 2.65%
2-4 @ 1.38%
1-5 @ 0.98%
0-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 55.99%

How you voted: Troyes vs Marseille

Troyes
9.4%
Draw
11.8%
Marseille
78.8%
85
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 4.05pm
Troyes
1-1
Marseille
Touzghar (90')
Balde (27'), Tardieu (36'), Rami (36'), Conte (49'), Biancone (90+5')
Payet (28' pen.)
Rongier (11'), Payet (55'), Lopez (85')
Nov 28, 2021 7.45pm
Marseille
1-0
Troyes
Lirola (74')
Gueye (16')

Salmier (10'), Tardieu (17'), Kone (43'), Rodrigues (59')
Apr 15, 2018 4pm
Troyes
2-3
Marseille
Grandsir (1'), Nivet (49')
Giraudon (27'), Zalazny (75')
N'Jie (11'), Mitroglou (75'), Thauvin (85')
Rami (45'), Payet (59'), Thauvin (66')
Dec 20, 2017 7.50pm
Marseille
3-1
Troyes
Payet (31'), Gustavo (66'), Germain (84')
Thauvin (54')
Pele (14')
May 14, 2016 8pm
Troyes
1-1
Marseille
Camus (10')
Xavier (30'), Martial (81')
Fletcher (61')
Dja Djedje (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG17134046153143
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1751111637-2116
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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