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Rennes
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Toulouse
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Roazhon Park
Marseille

Rennes
2 - 0
Marseille

Terrier (21'), Bourigeaud (77' pen.)
Kalimuendo (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Harit (38'), Lopez (76'), Sarr (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Sunday, March 10 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Rennes 1-2 Marseille

Both sides will be desperate for three points in a pivotal contest in the top-five race, and despite facing a tough trip, Marseille are in fine fettle under new management and playing to their full potential, and we fancy them to make it four Ligue 1 wins on the bounce as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Marseille win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawMarseille
42.78% (-0.424 -0.42) 24.51% (0.058 0.06) 32.71% (0.369 0.37)
Both teams to score 58.61% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (-0.153 -0.15)44.18% (0.15499999999999 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (-0.15 -0.15)66.56% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.24% (-0.255 -0.25)20.76% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.61% (-0.403 -0.4)53.39% (0.405 0.41)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (0.151 0.15)26.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (0.201 0.2)61.07% (-0.198 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 42.78%
    Marseille 32.71%
    Draw 24.51%
RennesDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.056 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.89% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.042 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.71%

How you voted: Rennes vs Marseille

Rennes
32.3%
Draw
18.5%
Marseille
49.2%
65
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2024 8.05pm
Round of 32
Rennes
1-1
Marseille
Rennes win 9-8 on penalties
Terrier (53')
Doue (27'), Yildirim (88')
Veretout (29')
Onana (36'), Garcia (45+3'), Oliveira (49')
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
Aubameyang (8' pen.), Ounahi (65')
Mughe (81')
Ndiaye (67')

Santamaria (36'), Matic (76'), Gouiri (90')
Wooh (61')
Mar 5, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 20, 2023 8.10pm
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Marseille
1-1
Rennes
Guendouzi (52')
Guendouzi (25' og.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG312010176294770
2MonacoMonaco32187762422061
3Brest32169749331657
4Lille311510645271855
5Nice31149836251151
6Lens32147114234849
7Rennes32129115143845
8Marseille31111194738944
9Lyon31135134251-944
10Montpellier HSCMontpellier321011114144-340
11Toulouse321010123942-340
12Reims31117133845-740
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3299143547-1236
14NantesNantes3296172949-2033
15Le HavreLe Havre32711143342-932
16Metz3285193454-2029
17Lorient3268183763-2626
18Clermont32510172654-2825


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