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Ligue 1
Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Roazhon Park
Metz logo

Rennes
5 - 1
Metz

Kalimuendo (20'), Gouiri (51'), Doku (67'), Salah (87', 90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maziz (21')
Kouao (45+2'), Colin (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Wolves 3-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 5 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Metz

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 3-2 Bastia
Friday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

We said: Rennes 3-1 Metz

 Rennes have not recorded a draw in their last 37 Ligue 1 home games, while posting an impressive 29 wins in that period; in fact, their last home draw came on the opening matchday in 2021. That run should continue, as the hosts have far too much firepower for their promoted opponents to withstand - though they may concede a goal en route to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawMetz
48.85% (-0.601 -0.6) 25.14% (0.283 0.28) 26.01% (0.322 0.32)
Both teams to score 52.36% (-0.599 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (-0.922 -0.92)50.47% (0.926 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.6% (-0.824 -0.82)72.4% (0.82600000000001 0.83)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.623 -0.62)20.68% (0.626 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.993 -0.99)53.27% (0.995 1)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (-0.232 -0.23)33.99% (0.235 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (-0.253 -0.25)70.67% (0.255 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 48.84%
    Metz 26.01%
    Draw 25.13%
RennesDrawMetz
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.95% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 48.84%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.259 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.233 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.45% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 26.01%

How you voted: Rennes vs Metz

Rennes
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Metz
7.7%
39
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
Rennes
6-1
Metz
Terrier (18' pen., 27'), Guirassy (40', 54', 64'), Traore (59')
Santamaria (82')
Mafouta (87')
Kouyate (25'), Cande (70')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Metz
0-3
Rennes

Pajot (20'), Ndiaga Yade (64'), Salif Mbengue (72')
Laborde (24'), Deen Sulemana (37'), Terrier (45')
Omari (3')
> Preview
Mar 20, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 30
Metz
1-3
Rennes
Ndiaga Yade (90')
Doku (18'), Terrier (38' pen.), Guirassy (88')
Gomis (84'), Guirassy (90+1')
Doku (51')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 17
Rennes
1-0
Metz
Grenier (52')
Bourigeaud (42')

Ndiaga Yade (26')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 33
Rennes
P-P
Metz
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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