Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Rennes |
34.85% ( -0.8) | 24.39% ( -0.09) | 40.75% ( 0.89) |
Both teams to score 59.67% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.93% ( 0.31) | 43.06% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.53% ( 0.3) | 65.46% ( -0.3) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.74% ( -0.3) | 24.25% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.39% ( -0.43) | 58.61% ( 0.42) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.78% ( 0.56) | 21.22% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.88% ( 0.86) | 54.11% ( -0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Rennes |
2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.85% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.67% Total : 40.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |