Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Brest had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Brest |
52.17% ( -0.49) | 23.81% ( 0.17) | 24.02% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 54.58% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.42% ( -0.41) | 46.58% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.15% ( -0.39) | 68.85% ( 0.39) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% ( -0.33) | 17.84% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.41% ( -0.59) | 48.59% ( 0.59) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.43% ( 0.06) | 33.57% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.79% ( 0.06) | 70.21% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 52.17% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.3% Total : 24.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |