Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Rennes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Rennes.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Strasbourg |
65.49% ( 0.02) | 19.51% ( 0.15) | 15% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.25% ( -1.05) | 40.75% ( 1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.86% ( -1.09) | 63.14% ( 1.09) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% ( -0.3) | 11.65% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.3% ( -0.65) | 36.7% ( 0.66) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.19% ( -0.88) | 39.81% ( 0.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.53% ( -0.82) | 76.48% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.83% Total : 65.48% | 1-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.51% | 0-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.84% Total : 15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 24 |
8 | Toulouse | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 24 |
9 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 21 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
15 | Angers | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 35 | -20 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 39 | -24 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |