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[monks data]
North Macedonia national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
Netherlands national football team

N. Macedonia
0 - 3
Netherlands


Ristovski (18'), Musliu (48'), Alioski (65'), Kostadinov (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Depay (24'), Wijnaldum (51', 58')

Preview: North Macedonia vs. Netherlands - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's European Championship clash between North Macedonia and Netherlands, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

North Macedonia take on Netherlands at Amsterdam ArenA in a Euro 2020 dead rubber.

Netherlands wrapped up top spot in Group C with a 2-0 win against Austria on Thursday after North Macedonia had earlier exited the competition with a 2-1 defeat to Ukraine.


Match preview

North Macedonia manager Igor Angelovski on June 1, 2021© Reuters

Having qualified for Euro 2020 via the bottom path of the UEFA Nations League, the odds were always stacked against North Macedonia in terms of progressing to the knockout stages.

Many neutrals questioned whether Igor Angelovski's side would even score a goal at the competition, so by netting in both defeats to Austria and Ukraine, the Lynxes have already proven people wrong in that regard.

However, Angelovski would have been disappointed with his side's defending when allowing Andriy Yarmolenko too much time and space to prod Ukraine ahead in the first half, with Roman Yaremchuk clinical for his side's second.

Leeds United full-back Ezgjan Alioski scored from the rebound after missing a penalty prior to the hour mark to provide North Macedonia with hope of remaining in the competition, but despite plenty of huffing and puffing they were ultimately unable to break Andriy Shevchenko's side's door down.

Head-to-head rules mean that Angelovski's outfit are now guaranteed to finish bottom of Group C, so they are simply playing for pride when they travel to Amsterdam to take on group winners Netherlands on Monday.

Netherlands' Memphis Depay celebrates scoring against Austria at Euro 2020 on June 17, 2021© Reuters

Netherlands will also head into Monday's meeting with minimal pressure on their shoulders ahead of facing one of the four best third-placed sides in the last 16 in Budapest on June 27.

Frank de Boer's side were impressive once again when defeating Austria 2-0 on Thursday, with Memphis Depay's first-half penalty backed up by another second-half strike from the marauding wing-back Denzel Dumfries, who has been one of the standout players of the tournament so far.

Defensively, Oranje looked much stronger with Juventus defender Matthijs de Ligt back in the heart of the back three after the 21-year-old recovered from the groin injury which saw him miss out on Netherlands' opening 3-2 win against Ukraine.

With top spot in the group already wrapped up, De Boer will be wrestling in his mind between continuing to build the momentum his team have built so far and resting key players ahead of the knockout stages.

North Macedonia European Championship form:
  • L
  • L

North Macedonia form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Netherlands European Championship form:
  • W
  • W

Netherlands form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Netherlands manager Frank de Boer pictured on June 6, 2021© Reuters

North Macedonia improved in the second half of their 2-1 defeat to Ukraine after Darko Churlinov and Aleksandr Trajkovski had replaced Stefan Spirovski and Boban Nikolov at half-time, so Angelovski may be tempted to go with these changes from the start against Netherlands.

Otherwise, the 45-year-old is likely to reward the bulk of the players who have performed above expectations despite losing both matches so far.

As alluded to, De Boer may look to make several changes with top spot in the group already sealed and a last-16 tie six days afterwards to focus on.

Daley Blind missed the last two months of the season with an ankle injury and was replaced by Manchester City's Nathan Ake in the second half of the win against Austria, so it would be a surprise to see the 31-year-old start here.

Likewise, Marten de Roon picked up a yellow card against Austria and would be banned for the last 16 should he receive another, so 19-year-old Ryan Gravenberch is likely to start in midfield.

Luuk de Jong could replace Wout Weghorst up front, with Owen Wijndal allowing Patrick van Aanholt a breather at left wing-back.

North Macedonia possible starting lineup:
Dimitrievski; Ristovski, Velkovski, Musliu; Trajkovski, Ademi, Churlinov, Bardhi, Alioski; Elmas, Pandev

Netherlands possible starting lineup:
Stekelenburg; De Vrij, De Ligt, Ake; Dumfries, Gravenberch, F. De Jong, Wijnaldum, Wijndal; L. De Jong, Depay


SM words green background

We say: North Macedonia 1-3 Netherlands

As has been the case in their first two defeats at Euro 2020, we expect North Macedonia to make life difficult for Netherlands, particularly if De Boer makes some changes to his starting XI as expected.

However, Oranje should have too much offensive firepower for their opponents regardless, and could become the first nation to win all three group matches at a European Championship since Germany in 2012.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 13.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.54%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: N. Macedonia vs Netherlands

North Macedonia
11.3%
Draw
10.4%
Netherlands
78.4%
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Netherlands' Ryan Gravenberch celebrates scoring their third goal with teammates on June 6, 2021
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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