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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal Impact

Atlanta
4 - 1
Montreal

Silva (30'), Almada (33'), Giakoumakis (46'), Mosquera (89')
Robinson (65'), Mosquera (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hamdy (40')
Waterman (67'), Choiniere (79')
Waterman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 1-1 Atlanta
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 CF Montreal

Atlanta United and Montreal dropped points in their last outings and will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result. The Five Stripes' home record in this fixture makes them firm favourites to come out on top and are tipping them to edge out Losada's side once again.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawCF Montreal
55.86% (0.723 0.72) 22.29% (-0.331 -0.33) 21.85% (-0.39 -0.39)
Both teams to score 56.85% (0.57899999999999 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (1.021 1.02)42.26% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (1.015 1.02)64.67% (-1.014 -1.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.595 0.59)14.99% (-0.592 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.55% (1.117 1.12)43.45% (-1.115 -1.12)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.217 0.22)33.12% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.238 0.24)69.72% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 55.86%
    CF Montreal 21.85%
    Draw 22.29%
Atlanta UnitedDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.079 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.07 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 21.85%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Montreal

Atlanta United
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
CF Montreal
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
0-1
Atlanta

Camacho (53'), Kwizera (84'), Campbell (87')
Lennon (54')
Almada (78'), Guzan (90+10')
Apr 30, 2022 9pm
Montreal
2-1
Atlanta
Miller (4'), Torres (81')
Camacho (10'), Wanyama (31'), Kone (58')
Moreno (51')
Moreno (51'), Franco (54'), Ibarra (76')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
3-3
Montreal
Martinez (6'), Almada (85'), Lennon (90+2')
Gutman (4'), Sosa (90+4')
Dwyer (67')
Mihailovic (28'), Kone (37'), Quioto (42' pen.)
Kone (10'), Miller (31'), Quioto (31'), Lappalainen (72'), Miljevic (82'), Camacho (90+1'), Johnston (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 12am
Gameweek 37
Montreal
2-1
Atlanta
Quioto (50', 55' pen.)
Mulraney (48')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 23
Montreal
2-2
Atlanta
Toye (53'), Camacho (63')
Martinez (65'), Moreno (76' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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