Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2023 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
We said: Seattle Sounders 3-2 Atlanta United
Given that Atlanta United have been impressive on the front foot but quite poor defensively, we expect Saturday's game to be high-scoring, with the hosts just about coming out on top.
Neither side performed well in the Leagues Cup, but Seattle Sounders were in better form prior to the MLS season being paused, and they should be able to pick up all three points on home soil.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 55.93% . A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.47% .
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.76%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%) , while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (6.45%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood .
Result Seattle Sounders Draw Atlanta United 55.93% ( -0.07) 23.59% ( 0.01) 20.47% ( 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.62% ( 0.05)
50.44% ( 0.03) 49.56% ( -0.02)
28.41% ( 0.02) 71.58% ( -0.02)
82.45% ( -0.01) 17.55% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.91% ( -0.03) 48.08% ( 0.03)
61.39% ( 0.08) 38.61% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.65% ( 0.07) 75.35% ( -0.07)
Seattle Sounders 55.91%
Atlanta United 20.47%
Draw 23.59%
Seattle Sounders Draw Atlanta United 1-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 55.91% 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.59% 0-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.47%
How you voted: Seattle vs Atlanta
Seattle Sounders
Draw
Atlanta United
7
rhs 2.0
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