Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
39.68% ( 0.85) | 23.74% ( -0.01) | 36.58% ( -0.84) |
Both teams to score 62.41% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.37% ( -0.01) | 39.62% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.02% ( -0.01) | 61.97% ( 0.01) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.75% ( 0.39) | 20.25% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.41% ( 0.63) | 52.58% ( -0.63) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% ( -0.43) | 21.75% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% ( -0.66) | 54.93% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.02% Total : 39.68% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |