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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
LA Galaxy

Los Angeles
4 - 2
LA Galaxy

Bouanga (24', 75'), Hollingshead (33'), Tillman (84')
Sanchez (7'), Palacios (13'), Hollingshead (66'), Acosta (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sharp (25'), Yoshida (59')
Cuevas (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Last Game: Portland 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

 These encounters have traditionally been high-scoring affairs with five or more goals in three of the last four competitive meetings between the two, and given the defensive struggles of each, we might be in for another goal fest this weekend. LAFC have not played up to their potential in recent outings, but the Galaxy have consistently dug themselves a deficit, and it will be a lot harder to overcome that against one of the top defensive units in MLS this season.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.19%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 15.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
66.19% (1.042 1.04) 18.04% (-0.464 -0.46) 15.77% (-0.582 -0.58)
Both teams to score 60.69% (0.401 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68% (1.118 1.12)31.99% (-1.123 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.44% (1.295 1.3)53.56% (-1.3 -1.3)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.97% (0.54299999999999 0.54)9.03% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.26% (1.294 1.29)30.74% (-1.3 -1.3)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.71% (0.040000000000006 0.04)33.28% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.044 0.04)69.9% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 66.19%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 15.77%
    Draw 18.04%
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.66% (0.117 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.23% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.098 0.1)
4-1 @ 4.61% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.19% (0.16 0.16)
4-2 @ 2.53% (0.102 0.1)
5-1 @ 2.22% (0.139 0.14)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.124 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.078 0.08)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 66.19%
1-1 @ 7.95% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.04%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 15.77%

Head to Head
Jul 5, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Boyd (26'), Puig (73')
Edwards (34'), Costa (54'), Aude (72')
Sanchez (57')
Tillman (19'), Maldonado (70'), Duenas (82')
> Preview
May 24, 2023
3.30am
Round of 16
Los Angeles  
vs.
  LA Galaxy
Apr 16, 2023 9.30pm
LA Galaxy
2-3
Los Angeles
Boyd (41'), Delgado (84')
Vela (22', 68'), Hollingshead (70')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2022 3am
Conference Semi-Finals
Los Angeles
3-2
LA Galaxy
Bouanga (23', 80'), Arango (90+3')
Grandsir (44'), Joveljic (85')
> Preview
Jul 9, 2022 3am
Los Angeles
3-2
LA Galaxy
Cifuentes (17', 70'), Arango (72')
Grandsir (55'), Raveloson (81')
> Preview
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