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Major League Soccer
Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Houston Dynamo

Chicago Fire
2 - 1
Houston

Shaqiri (10' pen.), Gutierrez (78')
Czichos (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ibrahim (65')
Sviatchenko (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chicago Fire

All competitions
Last Game: Atlanta 3-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 31 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Houston Dynamo

 Chicago have been struggling to find their best form this season and are coming off a very poor display against Atlanta last weekend. They now have to face a Houston side that are unbeaten in their last four in all competitions, are riding a three-match winning streak and will be brimming with confidence after their comeback win against the Earthquakes. We fancy the hosts to get on the board here but feel that the visitors will outscore them by the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
47.03% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 25.31% (0.0019999999999989 0) 27.67% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.94% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)50.06% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.97% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)72.04% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)21.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)54.24% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)32.46% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)68.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 47.02%
    Houston Dynamo 27.67%
    Draw 25.31%
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.26% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 47.02%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.78%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Houston

Chicago Fire
40.0%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
60.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2023 1.30am
Quarter-Finals
Chicago Fire
1-4
Houston
Souquet (40')
Pineda (21'), Navarro (62'), Gimenez (63'), Burks (90')
Bassi (12' pen.), Ibrahim (31', 59'), Quinones (74')
Gasper (89')
> Preview
Jun 26, 2022 1am
Houston
2-0
Chicago Fire
> Preview
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Gameweek 12
Chicago Fire
4-0
Houston
Aug 4, 2019 2am
Gameweek 29
Houston
0-1
Chicago Fire

Elis (44'), Vera (46')
Nikolic (45')
Bronico (53'), McCarty (67')
May 20, 2018 9pm
Gameweek 14
Chicago Fire
2-3
Houston
Nikolics (14'), Campos (16')
Adams (38'), Sanchez (83'), Ramos (91')
Quioto (4'), Elis (56' pen., 74')
Garcia (67'), Quioto (79'), Elis (80'), Willis (96')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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