MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 19:17:40| >> :60:25:25:
Chicago Fire
US Open Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jun 7, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Houston Dynamo

Chicago Fire
1 - 4
Houston

Souquet (40')
Pineda (21'), Navarro (62'), Gimenez (63'), Burks (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Bassi (12' pen.), Ibrahim (31', 59'), Quinones (74')
Gasper (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's US Open Cup clash between Chicago Fire and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 3-0 Houston
Sunday, June 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 2-0 Houston Dynamo

Houston have looked incredibly shaky in recent matches, and while things can change quickly, the Fire appear very determined in this competition and we believe their attacking pieces and the home crowd will be too much for the visitors to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
50.43% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 25.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 24.26% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.44% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.45% (0.0020000000000024 0)53.54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (-0.012 -0.01)36.64% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (-0.012 -0.01)73.42% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 50.42%
    Houston Dynamo 24.26%
    Draw 25.31%
Chicago FireDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 9.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.93%
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.67%
1-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Houston

Chicago Fire
100%
Draw
0.0%
Houston Dynamo
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2020 12.30am
Aug 4, 2019 2am
gameweek 29
Houston
0-1
Chicago Fire

Elis (44'), Vera (46')
Nikolic (45')
Bronico (53'), McCarty (67')
May 20, 2018 9pm
gameweek 14
Chicago Fire
2-3
Houston
Nikolics (14'), Campos (16')
Adams (38'), Sanchez (83'), Ramos (91')
Quioto (4'), Elis (56' pen., 74')
Garcia (67'), Quioto (79'), Elis (80'), Willis (96')
Oct 22, 2017 9pm
Houston
3-0
Chicago Fire
Leonardo (2'), Quioto (68'), Manotas (75')
rhs 2.0
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