We said: Columbus Crew 2-0 Atlanta United
A lot of the scoring chances for Atlanta this season filtered through Almada, and without him, it is difficult to see who can step in and fill his big shoes.
Columbus have plenty of dependable attacking pieces and should have their share of the ball and opportunities on Wednesday, and they do not often miss the chances presented to them.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.