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Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 1.32am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New York City

Inter Miami
1 - 1
NY City

Aviles (90+5')
Cremaschi (33'), Aviles (40'), Farias (62'), Krivtsov (69'), Arroyo (70'), Allen (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (77')
Ledezma (52'), Jasson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-2 Houston
Thursday, September 28 at 1.30am in US Open Cup

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 New York City FC

 Tata Martino has proven to be a resourceful manager who seems to find an approach that works with the players available, and if Messi and Alba cannot play, there are still plenty of attacking options for a Miami side who have excelled under the Argentine boss. NYCFC have a lot of momentum on their side, but they are playing a team that will have a much greater sense of urgency than Orlando City and Toronto, and we expect the Pigeons to be hindered by a well-organised Miami defensive unit.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
44.01% (-3.576 -3.58) 25.66% (0.727 0.73) 30.33% (2.849 2.85)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.53 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (-1.529 -1.53)50.13% (1.531 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9% (-1.375 -1.38)72.1% (1.376 1.38)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-2.244 -2.24)22.71% (2.244 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (-3.441 -3.44)56.37% (3.443 3.44)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (1.297 1.3)30.54% (-1.295 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (1.509 1.51)66.77% (-1.509 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 44.01%
    New York City FC 30.33%
    Draw 25.66%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.578 -0.58)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.496 -0.5)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.57 -0.57)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.313 -0.31)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.324 -0.32)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.01%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.419 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.769 0.77)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.462 0.46)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.611 0.61)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.276 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.3 0.3)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.33%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs NY City

Inter Miami
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
New York City FC
20.0%
30
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Inter Miami
McVey (36' og.)
> Preview
Oct 18, 2022 12am
First Round
NY City
3-0
Inter Miami
Pereira (63')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
3-2
NY City
> Preview
Jul 24, 2022 12am
NY City
2-0
Inter Miami
Morales (14')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 44
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
> Preview
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