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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 1.32am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
New York City

Inter Miami
1 - 1
NY City

Aviles (90+5')
Cremaschi (33'), Aviles (40'), Farias (62'), Krivtsov (69'), Arroyo (70'), Allen (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (77')
Ledezma (52'), Jasson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY City 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 New York City FC

Tata Martino has proven to be a resourceful manager who seems to find an approach that works with the players available, and if Messi and Alba cannot play, there are still plenty of attacking options for a Miami side who have excelled under the Argentine boss. NYCFC have a lot of momentum on their side, but they are playing a team that will have a much greater sense of urgency than Orlando City and Toronto, and we expect the Pigeons to be hindered by a well-organised Miami defensive unit.

How to watch

You can watch Inter Miami vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
44.01% (-3.576 -3.58) 25.66% (0.727 0.73) 30.33% (2.849 2.85)
Both teams to score 53.68% (-0.53 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (-1.529 -1.53)50.13% (1.531 1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.9% (-1.375 -1.38)72.1% (1.376 1.38)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-2.244 -2.24)22.71% (2.244 2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (-3.441 -3.44)56.37% (3.443 3.44)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (1.297 1.3)30.54% (-1.295 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (1.509 1.51)66.77% (-1.509 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 44.01%
    New York City FC 30.33%
    Draw 25.66%
Inter MiamiDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.28% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-0 @ 7.62% (-0.578 -0.58)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.496 -0.5)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.57 -0.57)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.313 -0.31)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.324 -0.32)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.01%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.419 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.769 0.77)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.462 0.46)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.611 0.61)
1-3 @ 2.86% (0.276 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.3 0.3)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 30.33%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs NY City

Inter Miami
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
New York City FC
20.0%
30
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Oct 18, 2022 12am
Jul 24, 2022 12am
Oct 30, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 44
Inter Miami
1-3
NY City
Figal (56')
Shea (29'), Gregore (45+4'), Gonzalez Pirez (81')
Castellanos (33', 60'), Magno (83')
Callens (52'), Medina (57'), Deila (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami30197468442464
2Columbus Crew29168558312756
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati30175852391356
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls30101464739844
5Orlando City30127115045543
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC30118113633341
7New York City FCNY City30118114343041
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia30991257471036
9Toronto31113173855-1736
10CF MontrealMontreal30810124161-2034
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta3089134044-433
12Nashville SCNashville3089133146-1533
13DC United3089134461-1733
14Chicago Fire3178163654-1829
15New England RevolutionNew England2984173260-2828

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy31177763461758
2Real Salt LakeSalt Lake30149760451551
3Colorado RapidsColorado30155105850850
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles29147852401249
5Houston DynamoHouston30139843331048
6Seattle SoundersSeattle30138945341147
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2913794940946
8Portland TimbersPortland301281063531044
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd30126125048242
10Dallas30107134949037
11Austin FCAustin3098133242-1035
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas3187164958-931
13St Louis City30613114357-1431
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3053223769-3218


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