Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
44.01% ( -3.58) | 25.66% ( 0.73) | 30.33% ( 2.85) |
Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.86% ( -1.53) | 50.13% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.9% ( -1.38) | 72.1% ( 1.38) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.29% ( -2.24) | 22.71% ( 2.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.63% ( -3.44) | 56.37% ( 3.44) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% ( 1.3) | 30.54% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.23% ( 1.51) | 66.77% ( -1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.58) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.5) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.57) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.31) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.32) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.01% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.77) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.61) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |