Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.