Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.