Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 0-1 Philadelphia Union
Granted, the Galaxy have upped their game in recent weeks, but Philadelphia possess more than enough quality to overcome the Western Conference strugglers.
The hosts are expected to put up a decent fight, but we can see Philly notching a narrow victory at Dignity Health Sports Park, enjoying a much-needed return to winning ways.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 41.72% . A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.35%) . The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result Los Angeles Galaxy Draw Philadelphia Union 41.72% ( -0) 24.35% ( 0) 33.93% ( 0)
Both teams to score 59.61% ( 0)
56.95% ( 0) 43.05% ( -0)
34.55% ( 0) 65.45% ( -0)
79.23% ( -0) 20.76%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 75.23% ( 0) 24.76% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.67% ( 0) 59.33% ( -0.01)
Los Angeles Galaxy 41.72%
Philadelphia Union 33.93%
Draw 24.35%
Los Angeles Galaxy Draw Philadelphia Union 2-1 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.72% 1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.35% 1-2 @ 7.87% 0-1 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.28% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.93%
How you voted: LA Galaxy vs Philadelphia
Los Angeles Galaxy
Draw
Philadelphia Union
32
rhs 2.0
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