Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 55.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.