Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.