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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Apr 9, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Gillette Stadium
Montreal Impact

New England
4 - 0
Montreal

Borrero (21'), Gil (45+4' pen.), Wood (50'), Vrioni (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Miller (26'), Corbo (45'), Wanyama (54'), Waterman (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

All competitions
Last Game: New England 1-1 NY City
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 5-0 Montreal
Sunday, April 2 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 2-0 CF Montreal

 A loss like the one they suffered in Vancouver cannot be good for the psyche of this Montreal team, who look dumbfounded away from home, while adjusting to the Losada style of play does not appear to be working. The Revs have been a force for most of the campaign, and we believe their mixture of youth and experience in the middle of the field will do some damage against a Montreal team that look like a wounded animal right now.

How to watch

You can watch New England Revolution vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawCF Montreal
49.83% (0.012 0.01) 24.37% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.8% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.6% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.43% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.64% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.33%50.67%
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)32.54% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.02 -0.02)69.07% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 49.83%
    CF Montreal 25.8%
    Draw 24.36%
New England RevolutionDrawCF Montreal
1-0 @ 10.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.97%
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 25.8%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 12.30am
New England
0-1
Montreal
Johnston (72')
Kamara (56')
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
Montreal
4-0
New England
Kamara (26'), Quioto (39', 55'), Miljevic (90+1' pen.)
Corbo (82')

Gil (88')
Sep 30, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
1-4
New England
Torres (32')
Piette (27'), Miller (90')
Jones (10'), Buksa (17'), Camacho (30' og.), Bou (86')
Bou (58'), Caicedo (90+2')
Jul 25, 2021 11pm
New England
2-1
Montreal
Bou (29', 73')
McNamara (90+1'), Camilo Mafla Rebellon (90+5')
Mihailovic (79')
Nov 20, 2020 11.30pm
New England
2-1
Montreal
Gil (38'), Bou (90+5')
Bou (6'), McNamara (20')
Quioto (61')
Corrales (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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