Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.