Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
42.9% ( -0.51) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 31.34% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 53.83% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.83% ( 0.12) | 50.16% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.87% ( 0.11) | 72.13% ( -0.11) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( -0.19) | 23.25% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( -0.29) | 57.17% ( 0.28) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.13% ( 0.4) | 29.86% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.04% ( 0.48) | 65.95% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |