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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Montreal Impact
Major League Soccer
Mar 18, 2023 at 11.30pm UK
Stade Saputo
Philadelphia Union

Montreal
3 - 2
Philadelphia

Quioto (3' pen., 90+8'), Offor (90')
Losada (0'), Wanyama (18'), Quioto (43'), Zouhir (43'), Offor (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Uhre (46', 60')
Glesnes (2'), Carranza (58'), Bedoya (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, March 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 0-1 Philadelphia Union

 Even with little time to rest for this encounter, we do not expect the Union backline to have much trouble containing a Montreal side still struggling to make that decisive final pass. Philadelphia were the top defensive unit in the league last season for a reason, they are experienced and well-organised at the back, while we believe there will be too many attacking weapons for the home team to handle this weekend.

How to watch

You can watch CF Montreal vs. Philadelphia Union and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawPhiladelphia Union
42.9% (-0.514 -0.51) 25.76% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 31.34% (0.496 0.5)
Both teams to score 53.83% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.83% (0.11799999999999 0.12)50.16% (-0.121 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87% (0.105 0.11)72.13% (-0.107 -0.11)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)23.25% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.288 -0.29)57.17% (0.285 0.28)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.396 0.4)29.86% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.479 0.48)65.95% (-0.482 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 42.89%
    Philadelphia Union 31.34%
    Draw 25.76%
CF MontrealDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.39% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 8.39% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.087 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 31.34%

How you voted: Montreal vs Philadelphia

CF Montreal
27.3%
Draw
27.3%
Philadelphia Union
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Montreal
Carranza (21' pen.)
Bedoya (55'), Andres Martinez (82'), Wagner (90+1')
Kamara (59')
Waterman (61'), Miller (90'), Bassong (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 9pm
Montreal
1-2
Philadelphia
Lappalainen (32')
Kone (20'), Wanyama (23'), Zouhir (67')
Bedoya (53'), Gazdag (56')
Carranza (64')
Carranza (71')
Oct 16, 2021 6pm
Montreal
2-2
Philadelphia
Miljevic (33'), Sunusi (90+5')
Mihailovic (44'), Waterman (75')
Pantemis (63' og.), Wagner (77')
Aug 22, 2021 1am
Philadelphia
1-1
Montreal
Sullivan (87')
Mbaizo (3'), Monteiro (6')
Mihailovic (45+1')
Choiniere (44'), Miller (68'), Breza (90+4'), Kizza (90+5')
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
Montreal
Monteiro (39'), Santos (48')
Mbaizo (58'), Bedoya (76'), Real (90+3')
Sejdic (65')
Piette (55'), Wanyama (60'), Corrales (71')
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