MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 07:55:33| >> :60:1306:1306:
Montreal Impact
MLS Playoffs | Conference Semi-Finals
Oct 23, 2022 at 6pm UK
Saputo Stadium
New York City

Montreal
1 - 3
NY City

Mihailovic (85')
Camacho (53'), Waterman (67'), Mihailovic (69')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Moralez (6'), Heber (45+3'), Magno (61' pen.)
O'Toole (33'), Rodriguez (38'), Callens (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between CF Montreal and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Orlando City
Monday, October 17 at 1am in MLS Playoffs

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 New York City FC

There is an excellent case to be made for either side to win this encounter, but we are going with the home team because they have been more consistent all season long and appear to be healthier, which at this time of year could tip the scales in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
55.84% (1.075 1.08) 22.71% (-0.309 -0.31) 21.44% (-0.765 -0.77)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.36% (0.438 0.44)44.64% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33% (0.422 0.42)67% (-0.42 -0.42)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.18% (0.52499999999999 0.52)15.82% (-0.524 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.01% (0.961 0.96)44.99% (-0.959 -0.96)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)34.84% (0.481 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.42% (-0.506 -0.51)71.58% (0.509 0.51)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 55.84%
    New York City FC 21.44%
    Draw 22.7%
CF MontrealDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.157 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.197 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.8% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.136 0.14)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.039 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.057 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 55.84%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.06% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 21.44%

How you voted: TBC vs TBC

TBC
50.0%
Draw
30.0%
TBC
20.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 12.30am
Mar 12, 2022 6pm
Jul 22, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Montreal
Tajouri (29')
Chanot (62')

Waterman (42'), Hamdi Hussein Hafez (76')
Jul 8, 2021 12.30am
Montreal
2-1
NY City
Toye (43' pen.), Quioto (73')
Brault-Guillard (57')
Parks (29')
Moralez (60'), Ibeagha (70'), Morales (77'), Castellanos (90+5')
Oct 25, 2020 12.30am
NY City
3-1
Montreal
Medina (68'), Moralez (83'), Rocha (86')
Tinnerholm (68'), Matarrita (89'), (90+1')
Quioto (89')
(90')
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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