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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Jul 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Orlando City

Nashville
0 - 3
Orlando City


Muyl (18'), Bauer (29'), Ajago (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Araujo (19'), Muyl (41' og.), Enrique (81')
Dan Thor­halls­son (21'), Torres (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Orlando City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 1-3 Orlando City

Nashville will be low on confidence after four straight defeats, while their opponents will be full of belief following three consecutive victories, and we think that Orlando will continue to build momentum by claiming another victory in Wednesday's away fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawOrlando City
46.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 24.08% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 29.17% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.27% (0.228 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.18% (0.284 0.28)43.82% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.79% (0.278 0.28)66.21% (-0.28 -0.28)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (0.11199999999999 0.11)18.9% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.61% (0.189 0.19)50.39% (-0.189 -0.19)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (0.181 0.18)28.15% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (0.23 0.23)63.83% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 46.75%
    Orlando City 29.17%
    Draw 24.08%
Nashville SCDrawOrlando City
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 8.86% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 46.75%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.08%
1-2 @ 7.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Nashville vs Orlando City

Nashville SC
29.6%
Draw
14.8%
Orlando City
55.6%
27
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2023 2am
Nashville
0-1
Orlando City

Surridge (23'), Godoy (24'), Bunbury (88'), Lovitz (90+3')
Angulo (6')
Cartagena (27'), Pereyra (36'), Santos (60'), Schlegel (90+2'), Gallese (90+2')
Oct 30, 2023 11pm
Oct 5, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
0-1
Orlando City

Anunga (34'), Williams (38'), Surridge (41'), Lovitz (79'), Bunbury (90+12')
Lovitz (90+11')
McGuire (44')
Cartagena (46')
Apr 2, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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