Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.