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DC United
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Nashville

DC United
2 - 1
Nashville

Dajome (51', 55')
Peltola (84'), Lesesne (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boyd (19')
Surridge (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orlando City 5-0 DC United
Sunday, July 7 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-1 Nashville
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-2 Nashville SC

DC United have conceded the most goals in MLS this season, and another goal fest could be on the cards in this one. That said, we are also backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawNashville SC
47.81% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 24.42% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 27.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.13% (-0.16099999999999 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.81% (-0.206 -0.21)46.19% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51% (-0.195 -0.2)68.48% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)19.4% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (-0.147 -0.15)51.22% (0.144 0.14)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (-0.125 -0.13)30.36% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (-0.149 -0.15)66.55% (0.14700000000001 0.15)
Score Analysis
    DC United 47.81%
    Nashville SC 27.77%
    Draw 24.41%
DC UnitedDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 9.66% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 47.81%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.89% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 27.77%

How you voted: DC United vs Nashville

DC United
36.8%
Draw
21.1%
Nashville SC
42.1%
38
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
2-0
DC United
Leal (18', 37')
Zimmerman (20'), Leal (34'), Bunbury (66')
Zimmerman (64')

Benteke (39'), Fountas (74')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-1
Nashville
Ku-Dipietro (83')
Pines (46'), Williams (85')
Muyl (73')
Muyl (45+1'), Williams (54')
Jun 25, 2022 10pm
DC United
1-3
Nashville
Fountas (59')
Najar (21'), Birnbaum (63')
Lovitz (6'), Williams (45+1', 50')
Lovitz (26'), Zimmerman (54'), Romney (60'), Anunga (84'), Haakenson (90+2')
Oct 17, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 39
DC United
0-0
Nashville
Canouse (33'), Mora (46')
Williams (62'), McCarty (90+4')
Aug 16, 2021 12am
rhs 2.0
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