We said: St Louis City 1-1 Austin FC
Both sides could be a little rusty having not competed competitively for a few weeks, and as such the quality may not be as high as it would have been had these sides faced each other last month.
St Louis may already have their eyes drifting towards the playoffs having made such a strong impression on their debut season, and it would be little surprise to see their results dipping off between now and then.
How to watch
You can watch St Louis City vs. Austin FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV.
Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.