Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 66.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 14.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.