Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.