We said: Philadelphia Union 2-2 New York City FC
While New York City come into this fixture with momentum, they have struggled in defence on the road are yet to register their first away clean sheet this season. Philadelphia, on the other hand, have scored two goals in all but one of their home games this season but have shipped eight in their last three alone.
There should be no shortage of goalmouth action in this one, but we feel these teams will cancel each other out by the final whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.