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Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jun 2, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Houston Dynamo

Portland
2 - 2
Houston

Mora (37'), Fogaca (76')
Zuparic (67'), Evander (71'), Chara (73'), Williamson (82'), Dorsey (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kowalczyk (9'), Carrasquilla (50')
Escobar (27'), Bassi (52'), Herrera (53'), Micael (76'), Raines (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 0-2 Portland
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 3-1 Colorado
Thursday, May 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 1-2 Houston Dynamo

We have seen great improvements from the Dynamo away from home, and we believe their patience and compact defensive shape will frustrate the home side, enabling Orange Crush to win a second successive encounter at Providence Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
46.31% (0.198 0.2) 24.27% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 29.41% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)44.54% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)66.9% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.63% (0.043999999999997 0.04)19.37% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.84% (0.077999999999996 0.08)51.16% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)28.34% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)64.07% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 46.31%
    Houston Dynamo 29.41%
    Draw 24.27%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 46.31%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.83% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 29.41%

How you voted: Portland vs Houston

Portland Timbers
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Houston
1-0
Portland
Ibrahim (43')
Dorsey (52'), Kowalczyk (70'), Artur (80')

Zuparic (57'), Miller (64')
Oct 22, 2023 2am
Portland
1-3
Houston
Mora (80')
Chara (66'), McGraw (74')
Dorsey (11', 71'), Carrasquilla (48')
Micael (40'), Escobar (42'), Carrasquilla (45+4'), Herrera (67')
Aug 21, 2023 1.30am
Houston
5-0
Portland
Bassi (5' pen.), Quinones (11'), Baird (14'), Escobar (45+3'), Smith (63')
Escobar (22'), Dorsey (45+4')

Zuparic (45+1'), Evander (89'), Araujo (90')
Jun 30, 2022 3.30am
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Houston
0-0
Portland
Hadebe (27')
Hadebe (75')
Paredes (16'), Blanco (27'), Chara (49'), Tuiloma (81')
rhs 2.0
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