Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.