Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.