Major League Soccer

Oct 6, 2024 at 1.30am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
3 - 0
Houston

Becher (14', 47'), Nerwinski (90+2')
Totland (39'), Nilsson (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Escobar (19')
Escobar (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 St Louis City
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Houston Dynamo

All competitions

Last Game: Houston 2-1 New England
Thursday, October 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: St Louis City 1-3 Houston Dynamo

While St Louis City will be playing for pride, Houston Dynamo set out looking to seal their spot in the playoffs and we expect them to go all out at CityPark this weekend. Olsen's men head into the weekend as the more in-form side and we are backing them to come away with the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
35.83% ( -0.1)	24.09% ( -0.05)	40.08% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 60.99% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.57% (

0.24)

41.42% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.18% (

0.25)

63.82% (

-0.25)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.04% (

0.06)

22.96% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.26% (

0.09)

56.74% (

-0.08)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

0.18)

20.83% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.49% (

0.28)

53.51% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 35.83%

Houston Dynamo 40.08%

Draw 24.09%

St Louis City	Draw	Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.83%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.09%	1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 40.08%