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Seattle Sounders
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 3.30am UK
CenturyLink Field
Houston Dynamo

Seattle
1 - 0
Houston

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dorsey (28'), Escobar (50'), Carrasquilla (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Seattle 2-2 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Houston
Sunday, September 22 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Seattle Sounders 2-2 Houston Dynamo

While Seattle Sounders have picked up in recent weeks, Houston Dynamo have been flying for longer, and this is why we think that the visitors have what it takes to secure at least a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.

Result
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
50.09% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 23.46% (0.028000000000002 0.03) 26.45% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.09% (-0.172 -0.17)42.91% (0.175 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.69% (-0.172 -0.17)65.31% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)17.24% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)47.55% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)29.64% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (-0.176 -0.18)65.68% (0.179 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Seattle Sounders 50.09%
    Houston Dynamo 26.45%
    Draw 23.46%
Seattle SoundersDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.055 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 50.09%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 26.45%

How you voted: Seattle vs Houston

Seattle Sounders
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Houston Dynamo
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Seattle
Blessing (30', 40')
Ibrahim (6'), Raines (89'), Steres (90+3')
Rothrock (58'), Ragen (63')
Ruidiaz (90+4')
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
1-0
Houston
Rusnak (67')
Cissoko (18'), Baker (54')

Olsen (19'), Micael (61'), Caicedo (89'), Sviatchenko (90+5')
May 14, 2023 1.30am
May 19, 2022 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Seattle
Carrasquilla (11'), Ceren (90')
Carrasquilla (54')
Rowe (47'), Roldan (79')
Roldan (82')
rhs 2.0
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