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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Austin FC
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Al Saqr Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Austin
0 - 1
Houston


Driussi (33'), Cascante (38'), Biro (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Carrasquilla (84')
Carrasquilla (42'), Kowalczyk (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austin FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-1 Austin
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Vancouver
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 1-2 Houston Dynamo

 Despite the returns of Driussi, Hines-Ike and Valencia, Austin's recent inability to win on their turf means Houston should fancy their prospects of nicking a positive result in the Texan battle this weekend, thus sealing a fourth consecutive MLS road triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
34.72% (1.304 1.3) 23.85% (0.293 0.29) 41.43% (-1.595 -1.6)
Both teams to score 61.63% (-0.687 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.5% (-1.063 -1.06)40.5% (1.065 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.12% (-1.101 -1.1)62.88% (1.103 1.1)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (0.227 0.23)23.13% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43% (0.33 0.33)57% (-0.327 -0.33)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-1.133 -1.13)19.82% (1.134 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (-1.868 -1.87)51.9% (1.869 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 34.72%
    Houston Dynamo 41.43%
    Draw 23.85%
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.21 0.21)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.365 0.36)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.298 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.4% (0.16 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.056 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 34.72%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 6.43% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.59% (0.22 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.74% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 41.43%

How you voted: Austin vs Houston

Austin FC
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
40.0%
15
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Austin
1-0
Houston
Driussi (87')
Cascante (31'), Gallagher (90'), Fodrey (90+5')

Dorsey (60')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Austin

Kowalczyk (28'), Carrasquilla (37'), Artur (45+3'), Ferreira (77')
Rigoni (86')
Driussi (87'), Zardes (90+3')
> Preview
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Austin
3-0
Houston
Finlay (22'), Zardes (32'), Cascante (50')
Gallagher (39'), Wolff (45'), Pereira (68'), Lima (75'), Cascante (77')

Sviatchenko (31'), Artur (45+5'), Herrera (77')
> Preview
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Austin
Herrera (37'), Franco (87')
Quinones (67'), Micael (90+3')
Zardes (22')
Cascante (30')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Houston
2-0
Austin
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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