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Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
St Louis City

Los Angeles
1 - 0
St Louis City

Bouanga (45+1')
Bogusz (8'), Cherundolo (8'), Chanot (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hartel (7'), Becher (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 1-2 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 3-1 Kansas
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-1 St Louis City

Despite their recent resurgence, St Louis City have remained defensively fragile and are set for a tough test in Los Angeles.   We can see the home side coming out victorious at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 75.89%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 3-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.97%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSt Louis City
75.89% (-0.44500000000001 -0.45) 13.96% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 10.15% (0.44 0.44)
Both teams to score 59.46% (1.977 1.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.2% (1.474 1.47)25.8% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.04% (1.876 1.88)45.96% (-1.872 -1.87)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.35% (0.23899999999999 0.24)5.65% (-0.235 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.11% (0.67399999999999 0.67)21.88% (-0.671 -0.67)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.02% (1.943 1.94)36.98% (-1.939 -1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.23% (1.883 1.88)73.76% (-1.879 -1.88)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 75.89%
    St Louis City 10.15%
    Draw 13.96%
Los Angeles FCDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.564 -0.56)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 8.26% (-0.415 -0.41)
3-1 @ 8.22% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 6% (-0.485 -0.49)
4-0 @ 5.94% (-0.21 -0.21)
4-1 @ 5.91% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.224 0.22)
5-0 @ 3.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
5-1 @ 3.39% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.94% (0.201 0.2)
5-2 @ 1.69% (0.138 0.14)
6-0 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.63% (0.074 0.07)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 75.89%
1-1 @ 5.97% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.176 0.18)
0-0 @ 2.09% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.14 0.14)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 13.96%
1-2 @ 2.97% (0.082 0.08)
0-1 @ 2.08% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 1.03% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.99% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 10.15%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs St Louis City

Los Angeles FC
95.0%
Draw
5.0%
St Louis City
0.0%
20
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
0-2
Los Angeles

Markanich (27'), Pompeu (58'), Blom (82'), Jackson (84'), Vassilev (90+2')
Markanich (75')
Bouanga (59', 90+5')
Tillman (45+5'), Duenas (86')
Sep 21, 2023 1.30am
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
3-0
St Louis City
Vela (72'), Biuk (82'), Cifuentes (90+2')
Cifuentes (13'), Maldonado (29')

Bell (51'), Nerwinski (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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