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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Real Salt Lake

Earthquakes
0 - 1
Salt Lake

FT(HT: 0-0)
Luna (78')
Katranis (45'), Julio (53'), Julio (85'), MacMath (90+5'), Glad (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Real Salt Lake, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 3-2 Dallas
Thursday, October 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Salt Lake 0-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 3 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Real Salt Lake

Beating Dallas would have offered the San Jose Earthquakes some cause for optimism coming into this weekend's encounter, which promises to be a stern test nonetheless. We fancy Real Salt Lake to carry the day, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
42.91% (0.341 0.34) 23.1% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.98% (-0.34 -0.34)
Both teams to score 64.23% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.99% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)37.01% (0.1 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.8% (-0.108 -0.11)59.2% (0.11 0.11)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (0.099999999999994 0.1)17.74% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (0.174 0.17)48.43% (-0.17 -0.17)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)21.91% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (-0.346 -0.35)55.17% (0.349 0.35)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 42.91%
    Real Salt Lake 33.98%
    Draw 23.1%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawReal Salt Lake
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 42.91%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 33.98%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Salt Lake

San Jose Earthquakes
7.1%
Draw
7.1%
Real Salt Lake
85.7%
14
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 2.30am
Sep 17, 2023 3.30am
Apr 23, 2023 2.30am
Jul 31, 2022 3am
Earthquakes
2-2
Salt Lake
Espinoza (12' pen.), Ebobisse (62')
Espinoza (45+2'), Yueill (85'), Covelo (86'), Gregus (90+5')
Loffelsend (21'), Savarino (90+5')
Glad (12'), MacMath (15'), Chang (37'), Savarino (90+6')
Jun 19, 2022 2.30am
Salt Lake
2-0
Earthquakes
Silva (22'), Savarino (81')
Schmitt (31'), Luiz (84')

Espinoza (68'), Cardoso (79')
rhs 2.0
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