Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.