We said: San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake
San Jose need to start picking up regular wins to secure their place in the playoffs, but recent form suggests they are set to struggle on Saturday evening.
Salt Lake will be feeling better about themselves after beating basement dwellers Colorado last time out, and we are expecting Mastroeni's side to make it back-to-back wins this weekend.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 54.74%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Jose Earthquakes in this match.