We said: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Portland Timbers
Portland may have won the last two encounters against Real Salt Lake, but they were the hosts in both games – the visitors have failed to win in their last two trips to America First Field.
In addition, the Timbers have been poor on the road in recent weeks, which is why we are predicting them to lose this clash.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.