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Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Sep 22, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Rio Tinto Stadium
Portland Timbers

Salt Lake
3 - 3
Portland

Marczuk (10'), Luna (22'), Goncalves (90')
Katranis (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Antony (62'), Evander (76'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Williamson (48'), Miller (55'), Evander (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 3-2 Dallas
Thursday, September 19 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, September 19 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Real Salt Lake 2-1 Portland Timbers

Portland may have won the last two encounters against Real Salt Lake, but they were the hosts in both games – the visitors have failed to win in their last two trips to America First Field. In addition, the Timbers have been poor on the road in recent weeks, which is why we are predicting them to lose this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 61.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Real Salt LakeDrawPortland Timbers
61.7% (-0.416 -0.42) 19.61% (0.171 0.17) 18.69% (0.251 0.25)
Both teams to score 61.17% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.8% (-0.41499999999999 -0.41)34.2% (0.422 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.91% (-0.473 -0.47)56.09% (0.477 0.48)
Real Salt Lake Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.28% (-0.224 -0.22)10.73% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.33% (-0.509 -0.51)34.67% (0.516 0.52)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.48% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.87% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Salt Lake 61.7%
    Portland Timbers 18.69%
    Draw 19.61%
Real Salt LakeDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.04% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.5% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.33% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.56% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 61.7%
1-1 @ 8.71% (0.104 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.38% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 19.61%
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.26% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 18.69%

How you voted: Salt Lake vs Portland

Real Salt Lake
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Portland Timbers
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Jul 14, 2024 3.25am
Portland
3-0
Salt Lake
Mora (3'), Moreno (48'), Evander (90')
Chara (7'), Rodriguez (8'), Mora (23')

Arango (23'), Gomez (23'), Ojeda (37'), Crooks (56'), Luna (63'), Bravo (86')
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Salt Lake
Moreno (13'), Mora (64')
Chara (34'), Asprilla (90+3'), Bingham (90+5')
Arango (83')
Mastroeni (35'), Ojeda (45+1'), Vera (86')
May 18, 2023 4.12am
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
rhs 2.0
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