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Moreirense
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Dec 29, 2020 at 6.45pm UK
Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas
Santa Clara

Moreirense
1 - 0
Santa Clara

Yan (72')
Soares (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Moghanlou (33'), Carvalho (56'), Villanueva (81'), Cardoso (85'), Costinha (88')

Preview: Moreirense vs. Santa Clara - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Moreirense entertain Santa Clara in the Primeira Liga on Tuesday evening, with the hosts looking to end a run of five games without a win in the league.

The visitors have also had a tough time of late, though, after losing three of their last four Primeira Liga encounters.


Match preview

Daniel Ramos, now in charge of Santa Clara, pictured as Boavista boss in June 2020© Reuters

Vitor Campelos's side have only won two of their opening 10 league matches, but a series of draws and a favourable goal difference currently sees them up in 11th position in the table.

However, os Verdes e Brancos are just two points above the relegation places, and a victory in midweek could create some daylight between themselves and the drop zone.

While Moreirense have struggled to put the ball in the back of the opposition's net this season, they have been extremely adept at keeping it out of theirs.

Just 10 goals conceded means they have the second-best defensive record in the bottom half of the division, and they will be relying upon keeping it tight at the back to pick up a good result on Tuesday.

Santa Clara currently find themselves in seventh position after a strong start to the new campaign saw them win their opening two fixtures.

A loss in midweek would see their opponents leapfrog them in the table though after picking up just two more victories in their last eight league games.

Daniel Ramos's men will have to cope without leading scorer Thiago Santana after the Portuguese striker agreed to move to J-League outfit Shimizu S-Pulse in the upcoming January transfer window.

The 27-year-old has bagged seven of Santa Clara's 10 league goals to date, and his absence will be a big loss in the second half of the season.

Moreirense Primeira Liga form: WLLLDD
Moreirense form (all competitions): WLLDWD

Santa Clara Primeira Liga form: LWLLWL
Santa Clara form (all competitions): LWLWWL


Team News

Defensive midfielder Sori Mane is unavailable for Campelos after picking up an injury along with winger Lucas Rodrigues.

Pedro Amador and Pedro Nuno are both unavailable after the pair sustained cruciate ligament injuries and face lengthy spells on the sidelines.

Santa Clara will likely turn to Iranian forward Shahriar Moghanlou in Santana's absence.

Right-winger Andre Mesquita is Ramos's only injury concern, with the 23-year-old unavailable due to a muscle problem.

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Pasinato; Figueiredo, Vitoria, Pacheco, Rosic, D'Alberto; Pires, Soares, Soares, Yan; Lacerda

Santa Clara possible starting lineup:
Marco; Ramos, Cardoso, Villanueva, Lucas; Nene, Rashid, Costinha; Ukra, Moghanlou, Carlos


SM words green background

We say: Moreirense 1-1 Santa Clara

It should be an evenly contested affair on Tuesday between two sides desperate to turn their recent fortunes around. A draw would be a decent result for both teams, and they could settle for a point apiece.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Moreirense vs Santa Clara

Moreirense
39.0%
Draw
31.7%
Santa Clara
29.3%
41
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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