National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium
Gloucester City1 - 1Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Telford 0-4 Gloucester City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
69
Last Game: Alfreton 0-2 King's Lynn
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
50
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gloucester City | Draw | Alfreton Town |
42.16% ( -0.04) | 26.06% ( 0) | 31.79% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.06% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.76% ( 0.01) | 51.24% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.92% ( 0.01) | 73.07% ( -0) |
Gloucester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.91% ( -0.02) | 24.09% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.62% ( -0.02) | 58.38% ( 0.03) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.9% ( 0.03) | 30.1% ( -0.03) |