National League South | Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hemps.1 - 4Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-2 Weston
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
49
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Chelmsford City |
23.48% ( -3.27) | 24.87% ( -0.07) | 51.64% ( 3.34) |
Both teams to score 50.64% ( -2.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.51% ( -2.34) | 51.48% ( 2.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.7% ( -2.08) | 73.29% ( 2.07) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.24% ( -4.06) | 36.75% ( 4.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.46% ( -4.29) | 73.53% ( 4.28) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.07% ( 0.44) | 19.92% ( -0.45) |