National League South | Gameweek 39
Apr 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Thames Road
Concord Rangers3 - 2Dartford
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Dartford.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Dartford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
78
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Concord Rangers | Draw | Dartford |
21.96% ( 0.86) | 23.04% ( 0.11) | 55% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 54.51% ( 0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.55% ( 0.57) | 45.44% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.22% ( 0.54) | 67.77% ( -0.54) |
Concord Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.2% ( 1.15) | 34.8% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.47% ( 1.19) | 71.53% ( -1.19) |
Dartford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.6% ( -0.14) | 16.4% ( 0.13) |